Monday, July 27, 2009

Trading Price Action

By Ahmad Hassam

Do you want to become a successful trader? If yes, than you should immerse yourself completely in the subject of forex trading in order to find your edge. If you are already a winning forex trader than you should try to understand exactly what your edge is.

Even the most advanced traders find it difficult to understand, interpret and trade the sharp moves often seen in the forex markets. By learning to read and interpret price action, you can develop a huge advantage for you as a trader.

When the market is in a steep decline, one should be careful to measure the reaction of the longs. You must try to know and understand if the move has the chance to turn into a rout.

By looking at the reaction of the longs as soon as the rate begins to go south, you may be able to determine if the market is sitting on a large number of long positions. If the spike is followed by a sharp V recovery, you should be wary of shorting the pair.

Many buyers entering the market at lower levels tell you that the market is not heavily long. These lower prices mean bargain prices for those wishing to accumulate long positions.

Moving averages (MAs) are among the oldest, true and tested indicators. Widely used moving averages are the 50, 100 and 200 day MAs.

As said before, moving averages are lagging indicators. They relate with the past price action in the market. MAs can be used effectively in intra-day trading for entering and exiting positions in one way markets that are trending.

During times of sharp price moves, it becomes difficult for the traders to enter a position as retracements are far and few. This makes most of the traders confused and forces them to start taking arbitrary decisions.

Moving Averages can be used as dynamic support and resistance levels in such situations. This will give results superior than the static support and resistance levels used by majority of the traders.

The advantages of using Moving Averages this way gives you dynamic levels to trade off and gauge price action taking place. MAs can help you avoid using arbitrary levels in trading a position on when you should take profit.

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